Will Hurricane Ernesto Hit New Orleans Similar To Katrina?

It appears that as of right now Hurricane Ernesto iswere poor, sick, handicapped, and otherwise unable
going to become a hurricane on Sunday. Right now,to leave the city and surrounding areas. So, when the
according to the National Hurricane Center andlevees did break and the city flooded there were
NOAA, Ernesto is a tropical storm with sustainedthousands that became stranded, drowned, etc.
winds of over 60 mph. Tracking shows it will goAccording to recent reports on CNN by the Army
through Cuba and head into the Gulf of Mexico.corps of engineers the levees have been rebuilt but
The Hurricane Center can only predict possible pathsare not capable of withstanding another major
with any accuracy at 5 days out. 3 days out willhurricane.
show better accuracy, but one should also keep inErnesto could become that major hurricane. Right
mind that hurricanes can be very unpredictable asnow Ernesto is feeling the effects of sheering winds
recent ones that have struck Florida have actuallywhich usually take the force and can even dissipate a
reversed direction headed back out to sea,storm altogether. Through these sheering winds
reorganized and strengthened, then come back again.Ernesto has not lost strength or weakened in the
So, there are no guarantees, but it sure does lookslightest. That shows it has strength and endurance.
like hurricane Ernesto could take a path that wouldAccording to the National Hurricane Center Ernesto
endanger New Orleans and Biloxi all over again.should emerge from the shearing winds tomorrow
Both Biloxi and New Orleans have a long and hardand then quickly build into a hurricane with sustained
road ahead for rebuilding after the devastating landfallwinds greater than 74 mph. The track then takes it
of Katrina last year which went on record as thethrough warm and optimal conditions in the Gulf of
most expensive national disaster ever for the U.S.Mexico similar to when Katrina went through last
When hurricane Katrina made landfall it had weakenedyear. Current weather predictions also show that the
from a category 5 hurricane to a category 3 withweather patterns will most likely encourage the
sustained winds of 111-130 mph. Even though it washurricane to take a northern track to the area of
only a category 3 it did more damage than anyLouisiana and Mississippi. These same current and
category 4 or 5 storm (sustained winds of greaternear future weather predictions also suggest that it is
than 131 mph). Katrina had more to do with thehighly likely that Ernesto will become at least a
topography and economics of the affected areas.category 3 or 4 hurricane before landfall in America.
New Orleans actually lies bordered by 3 bodies ofYes, it looks like Ernesto may well be the next major
water and is mostly below sea level. It is maintainedstorm headed to New Orleans. I do not wish this on
by a series of levees that keep the water out.anyone and actually hope it fizzes out or goes back
These levees or dams were not made for a highout to sea as any loss of life or severe hardship
level hurricane storm surge. Storm surges that usuallycaused by a storm like Katrina is terrible. I have one
accompany hurricanes can easily range from 15 to 40question, though, if we spent over $70 billion on
feet. New Orleans did amount a mass evacuationrepairing that area why could not we have either built
from New Orleans when it was determined thatstronger levees when we just went through a
Katrina, then a category 5, was headed right forterrible tragedy for the same reason that they were
them. The problem was that many of the inhabitantstoo weak.